13 H FoS Runs and No Dagger

#0 - March 15, 2010, 6:50 a.m.
Blizzard Post
I have ran Heroic Forge of Souls 13 times and I have yet to see a Blood Weeper drop. The drop rate is supposedly ~50%. I am very dissatisfied with this. I would greatly appreciate it if you could mail me a dagger of equal or greater value.
#6 - March 15, 2010, 7:41 a.m.
Blizzard Post
Q u o t e:
I have ran Heroic Forge of Souls 13 times and I have yet to see a Blood Weeper drop. The drop rate is supposedly ~50%. I am very dissatisfied with this. I would greatly appreciate it if you could mail me a dagger of equal or greater value.


I do wish you well on your hunt for this spiffy weapon, but no - I'm afraid this is not a request we are going to be able to grant.

As others have touched on, random is random and probabilities are not cumulative.

Say, something has a 10% chance to happen, drop, etc. That means it has a 90% chance NOT to do that each and every time.

The dice have no memory.

Granted, over many hundreds or thousands of drops droprates you may see listed on sites may be very accurate, but they don't mean nearly as much with a small sample.
#54 - March 19, 2010, 6:49 p.m.
Blizzard Post
This thread has gone on far longer than it should have.

The drop rates listed for items are a base reflection of their availability. It probably isn't wise to assume that you will acquire a drop within a certain number of runs based on that information. If you have suggestions for improvements to World of Warcraft, then the appropriate locale is the Suggestions forums.

Good luck acquiring weapons, and I hope you have fun playing World of Warcraft while you seek them out.