I’ve waited a week to post this, just to make sure I wasn’t simply having bad luck. Every single day, I lose 70-100% of the games I play during off-peak hours. During peak hours, my winrate seems to be about 50%.
At one point, my win-loss record was something like 70-70. Now, about 60 games later, I am 20 games under .500. The only thing that changed was a week spent playing during off-peak hours – something I had not been doing before.
I don’t have the time to walk everyone through Intro to Statistics, but trust me: I am not the problem. Unless you want to argue that my skill doubles or triples when the clock hits 8PM, my off-peak winrates are too many standard deviations from my peak rates. And both rates are too many standard deviations from my mean. Meaning it’s the system, not me.
edit – Obviously my numbers are approximate. I don’t keep a detailed record of my daily win distributions. But the .500 to 20 games under .500 is accurate.
